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Samizdata quote of the day – why Big Government fosters corruption edition

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“The more big and active the state is, the more it is worth purchasing.”

– Deidre N McCloskey and Alberto Mingardi, The Myth of the Entrepreneurial State (page 97).

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gangsterofboats
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The dystopia of a world without growth

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The post The dystopia of a world without growth appeared first on spiked.

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Britain needs an air-con revolution

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The post Britain needs an air-con revolution appeared first on spiked.

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Mamdani Got His Rent Freeze Wish. Don't Expect New York City Housing To Become More Affordable.

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Zohran Mamdani | Ron Adar/ZUMAPRESS/Newscom/Adani Samat

Two days after three of New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani's endorsed congressional candidates won their elections in the New York primaries, the NYC Rent Guidelines Board (RGB) delivered another win for the mayor. 

On Thursday night, the board voted 7–1 to freeze the rent for 1 million apartments in the city. The rent freeze applies to both one- and two-year leases, and prevents rent increases for more than 40 percent of apartments in the city, reports The New York Times. Those apartments that are covered by the freeze include "high-rise luxury apartments, deeply affordable subsidized units and 150-year-old walk-ups," according to the Times.  

Freezing the rent was one of Mamdani's key campaign promises (remember this?), and one that depended on support from the RGB, which is now largely filled with Mamdani's appointees

New York University Stern School of Business professor Arpit Gupta was the lone dissenting vote. On Thursday, he outlined his opposition to the rental freeze in City Journal, warning that "freezing the price of a service indefinitely while its costs continue to rise does not produce cheap or abundant service. Instead, it produces deteriorating assets and, eventually, public bailouts and takeovers."

Although Mamdani claims rental freezes ensure affordability, Gupta argued these measures benefit New Yorkers based on luck, not need. 

"The protection offered by a stabilized lease is effectively a transferable property right, one that can be held for life and, in practice, is often passed down to other family members," he wrote. "A rent freeze increases the value of that right, turning the benefit into something closer to a lottery prize than targeted welfare assistance."

Mamdani's rent freeze is the first to apply to two-year leases, but the city has frozen rent for one-year leases before under Mayor Bill de Blasio in 2015, 2016, and in 2020. During this time, however, Reason Foundation—the nonprofit that publishes this magazine—noted that the freeze "widened the gap between operating expenses (such as taxes, insurance, and fuel) and allowable rents," especially for small property owners of older buildings. 

"​​From an economic theory perspective, these freezes functioned as binding price ceilings, protecting existing tenants in the short run but discouraging investment in rental properties and reducing landlords' incentives to keep stabilized units in active use," wrote Reason policy analyst Jen Sidorova last year. "That left fewer homes available, so more people had to compete for the unregulated, 'market-rate' apartments, the ones not covered by rent limits, driving those rents even higher."

Mamdani's freeze is expected to face a legal challenge, reports the Associated Press, especially after the board member representing landlords, Christina Smyth, resigned the day of the vote. In her resignation letter, she wrote that the board, which is supposed to act independently, had "stopped being a fact-finding body" and that "this year's RGB order was decided last year on the campaign trail." 

New York's rent freezes have faced legal opposition before. In 2016, the Rent Stabilization Association, which represented landlords, sued over de Blasio's rent freeze, claiming the board was politically motivated. A Manhattan judge dismissed the lawsuit a year later.  A lawsuit challenging Mamdani's freeze could come from a group like the New York Apartment Association, which represents rent-stabilized landlords, reported The Real Deal. In May, the association's executive vice president, Jay Martin, told the outlet that the group is "exploring all legal options." 

Without a successful legal challenge, the freeze would take effect on October 1 of this year and continue until September 30, 2027. For those lucky to live in rent-stabilized apartments, the freeze may seem like a temporary win. But in a city that ultimately needs to increase the supply of housing to meet demand, the freeze will fail to make New York housing more affordable in the long run. 

The post Mamdani Got His Rent Freeze Wish. Don't Expect New York City Housing To Become More Affordable. appeared first on Reason.com.

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gangsterofboats
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GUEST POST: The Finite Planet Fallacy

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"The pie is fixed. The Earth is a closed system. You cannot have infinite growth on a finite planet." We hear this constantly, and it's delivered like a law of physics — case closed, only a compromised economist could disagree. Yet it's dead wrong, as Pedro Santa Clara explains in this Guest Post. And the mistake is revealing, because it isn't in the physics. It's in the economics smuggled inside the physics.
In short, we are not running out of matter. We are getting steadily better at making it serve us....

The Finite Planet Fallacy 
by Pedro Santa Clara
A critique I often get, whenever I defend economic growth, runs like this: “The truth is that the pie is fixed. The Earth is a closed system. You cannot sustain exponential growth on a finite planet.” It is delivered with the confidence of a physical law — as if invoking the conservation of mass settles the matter and only an economist too compromised to see it could disagree. It is the founding intuition of degrowth, of much of the environmental movement, and of the Club of Rome before them. It is also wrong, and wrong in an instructive way, because the error is not in the physics. It is in the economics smuggled inside the physics.

The argument commits a category error: it confuses matter with value. The Earth is indeed a closed system of atoms. But economic growth does not count atoms — it counts the value those atoms deliver to human beings, and that value lives in arrangement and knowledge, not in mass. The same kilogram of silicon is worth a few cents as sand on a beach and several thousand euros as the microchips etched from it. Nothing was added to the planet between those two states; not one atom. The entire difference is human ingenuity rearranging what was already there. Growth is the rising value we wring from a fixed stock of matter — and there is no law of physics that caps how cleverly atoms may be arranged. The Mona Lisa and a pile of pigment contain the same chemistry. One is worth incalculably more, and the difference is not material.

This is why the deepest engine of growth is not a resource at all but knowledge — and knowledge has two properties that demolish the finite-pie premise. It is 'non-rival'paul: if I use a recipe, a theorem, a line of code, you can use the very same one at the same instant, and neither of us has less. A barrel of oil burned is gone; an idea shared is doubled. And knowledge compounds, because every new idea is a recombination of existing ones, so the stock of possible combinations explodes rather than depletes as it grows. The pie, in other words, is not made of stuff. It is made of recipes — and the recipes are unbounded. A finite planet sets no ceiling on how much we can know about how to use it.

The closed-system picture fails on the brute facts as well. Earth is not even energetically closed: it is bathed continuously in solar energy that dwarfs all human consumption many times over, and with nuclear power the practical ceiling recedes further still — so the thermodynamic limit the argument gestures at is astronomically distant, not pressing.

Meanwhile the historical record simply refuses to cooperate with the prophecy. Resource after resource declared to be on the verge of exhaustion became, instead, more abundant and cheaper, because scarcity raises prices, and prices trigger substitution, efficiency, and discovery. This is the mechanism that cost Paul Ehrlich his famous wager with Julian Simon over the price of five metals Ehrlich himself selected, certain they would soar as the world ran out; every one of them fell. And the “decoupling” that environmentalists insist is impossible — growing an economy while shrinking its physical footprint — is now measured fact in more than thirty countries that have raised output while cutting absolute emissions and material use. 

We are not running out of matter. We are getting steadily better at making it serve us.
The surest sign that the finite-planet argument is broken is that it proves too much. If exponential growth in value were genuinely impossible on a finite world, then it could not have happened — and yet real income per person has risen something like thirtyfold over two centuries, on the same Earth, with the same inventory of atoms. The theory confidently predicts that the central economic fact of the modern era did not occur. When a model is refuted by the entire history of the thing it claims to govern, the mistake is not hiding in the history. It is in the premise — in the quiet, disastrous assumption that an economy is a warehouse of finite stuff to be divided and used up, rather than what it actually is: a growing body of knowledge about how to make a fixed world yield ever more of what human beings want.

The conservationists are right about one thing only. Atoms are finite. But wealth was never the atoms. It was always what we learned to do with them — and there is no end to that.
* * * * 
Pedro Santa Clara is a professor and entrepreneur -- Professor of Finance at the Nova School of Business and Economics and UCLA’s Anderson School of Management, and head of Shaken Not Stirred a company that promotes and manages education projects, and the Shaken Academy, which offers corporate development programmes in AI.

Pedro is also a founder and member of the Board of Trustees of Instituto Mais Liberdade, a think tank that promotes the liberal ideals of individual freedom, market economy and democracy, and a founding partner of Atrium Portofolio Managers, an asset management firm created in 1999, and of Data4Deals, a fintech startup created in 2021. 

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Is Media Running Cover for ‘Supergirl’s’ Box Office Numbers?

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Supergirl” is a dud.

The film earned a mediocre 57 percent at Rotten Tomatoes, but the bad reviews are scathing and the raves are anything but.

There’s more.

No box office prediction has the film in the winner’s circle. Yet both Deadline and The Hollywood Reporter are downplaying the film’s lackluster start. 

Hmmmm.

YouTube Video

First, Deadline. 

The far-Left outlet highlights the film’s global box office debut, not its stateside numbers in its headline.

‘Supergirl’ Takes Off With $13M First Day At Global Box Office

That’s not how it typically captures a film’s first-day ticket sales.

Hmmmm.

The story compares the opening to Steven Spielberg’s summer film “Disclosure Day.” Why not compare it to other superhero films out of the gate?

Hmmmm.

RELATED: ‘SUPERGIRL’ ADOPTS INSANE ‘GHOSTBUSTERS’ STRATEGY

The site does later do just that, but it does so by adding the film’s Wednesday preview numbers with its Thursday figures. That allowed it to fly, albeit barely, past other super duds like “The Marvels” and “Black Adam.”

Those releases didn’t have an extra day’s worth of ticket sales, though.

The Hollywood Reporter’s box office update has arguably the worst story lede you’ll ever find.

Supergirl has begun its box office run. 

Talk about compelling. We simply MUST read more!

RELATED: JAMES GUNN TRASHES MAGA, PRAISES CHINA 

The far-Left Variety update, to its credit, has more data and reflects the uphill battle “Supergirl” faces to turn a profit.

Meanwhile, more neutral film observers shared some hard truths for the DC film.

World of Reel doubled down on that sentiment.

Gillespie’s DCU movie earned just $6M in Thursday previews. Including previous advance showings, it has made $7.8M so far….What started as a projected $65M opening weekend in June is now looking more like a three-day tally in the $39M range.

Just tell it like it is. That’s all we ask.

Not all summer blockbusters get rave reviews. If “Supergirl” earned tepid critiques but over-performed at the box office, so be it. And a few films will start small and grow, and grow, over time.

Just ask the team behind “Obsession” how that works.

So “Supergirl” can still rewrite its own story if word-of-mouth traffic kicks in. 

Either way, it’s apparently hard for some news outlets to share the sometimes ugly truth.

The post Is Media Running Cover for ‘Supergirl’s’ Box Office Numbers? appeared first on Hollywood in Toto.

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